[blml] Positronic brain
Herman De Wael
herman at hdw.be
Mon Oct 9 13:29:28 CEST 2006
Quite a good analysis, Tim, but:
Tim West-Meads wrote:
> Herman wrote:
>
>>So let's assume that the UI suggests A over B. Then the AI also
>>suggests A over B. So with the AI, the player will choose A. Yet
>>since this is also the suggested LA from UI, you will rule against
>>him. I won't. Let's put it this way: You give the auction, without
>>UI, to a number of players. 3 choose alternative A, 1 chooses B. That
>>means that B is a LA. You now add the UI, and all four tell you that
>>it does not alter their choice, even if they wanted to cheat. You
>>would rule against this pair, I wouldn't.
>
>
> You're a lucky man Herman - I don't think I've had such crystallised
> views from a consultation. I generally get a couple of players saying
> "Hmm it's close, I'll probably bid 7H but 6H could well be right".
> Even in your hypothetical situation the person who didn't change from
> option B will explain "That makes the grand look better but it's still
> only 90% rather than 75% - and playing with *** it's just not worth
> bidding 90% grands because if one goes off he's useless for the rest of
> the session, besides I don't expect this field to even come close".
>
With regards to the actual case, the TD told the AC that from his
consultations, he received answers like "maybe 7H, maybe not", then
when telling about the UI, the consultees said "does not make a
difference".
So indeed, you are right, it is more important to hear the players
than to just poll them.
And you are absolutely right that if a player says that the grand
becomes a 90% one rather than a 75% one, that is enough to rule that
the UI influences the decision. Better than to say that with or
without the UI, 3 out of 4 bid the grand. The certainty of those 3 is
also important.
> I'm no way criticising the consultation concept - but I find what people
> say, how they say it and why they choose the calls they do *far* more
> useful towards determining LAs and what is suggested by the UI than the
> actual selection of calls.
>
Indeed.
> Tim
>
--
Herman DE WAEL
Antwerpen Belgium
http://www.hdw.be
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