[blml] Réf. : Re: Fwd: Re: MI and Logical Alternatives

[Nigel]

[Alain Gottcheiner]
But indeed, 4S looks like a a possible bid. Note that, after 3S too, 
6S  could be the final contract.

[nige1]
I agree and the committee seem to have ruled on the wrong basis, 
examining instead whether 4S is a *probable* bid.

[Alain Gottcheiner]
AG : seems like any weighted score should consider many cases. For 
example, the bidding might go :
 
1D     p        2D       3S
3NT    5S       6D       X
p      6S       6NT      p
p      7S
 
where X = no defensive trick.
 
1) Doesn't the mere fact that we discuss what could happen after a 3S ou 
4S bid indicate without doubt that those bids are indeed a possibility ? 
 
2) If (at pairs) EW didn't find 6NT here, why should they find it after 
competition ?
 
3) Are we allowed to make a longitutinal hairsplitting weighted socre ?
 
6D   30%
6N   20 %
6SX  20 %
5D   20 %
7S X 10 %

[nige2]
Yes. provided the competiton is fairly close,  L12C3 (if enabled) would 
allow the committee to adjust weights to produce almost any outcome that 
they prefer; and the losers would probably just have to grit their teeth 
and bear it. L12C3 is a secretary bird's wet dream.