[blml] Do we play bridge or not?

Nigel Guthrie at NTLworld.com
Wed Aug 8 22:05:05 CEST 2007


[Harald Skjæran]
 > IMPs, Love all
 > You hold:
 > 8x Txxx Jxx 9xxx Opponents bid 1NT - 3NT. Your lead?

[nige1]

Do we play Bridge or not? Good question. I'll take the Fifth.

Next question...

IMO: Heart = 10, Spade = 5, Club = 2, Diamond = 1.

In this auction, LHO may suppress a six or seven card minor but never 
a five card major and rarely a four card major. Hence a major is the 
normal lead. Some recommend that you lead your *shorter* major in such 
auctions because partner is likley to be *longer* in that suit. But 
the same argument makes it more likely that opener will also have 
length there. Hence, in my experience, the longer major is the better 
bet. It requires fewer specific cards in partner's hand to be a 
winner. For example, suppose that partner has A K x x x in a major and 
little else. Obviously he is more likely to hold five spades than five 
hearts but is that really relevant?




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