[blml] opening lead vs 3N

[Eric Landau]

On Jun 7, 2007, at 8:59 AM, Laszlo Hegedus wrote:

> Laszlo Hegedus wrote:
>
>> You are sitting North in IMP pairs and you hold:
>>
>> QT63
>> JT7
>> JT97
>> 73
>>
>> W/EW
>>
>> The bidding is the following:
>>
>> W    E
>> 1N  2D
>> 3D  3N
>> P
>>
>> 1N: 12-16, denies 4card major if 16.
>> 2D: Relay. Exactly invitational promises one or two 4 or 5 card Major
>> 3D: good hand, no 4cM
>> 3N: T/P
>>
>> which card do you lead?
>> which card do you consider leading?
>>
> Thanks all the anwsers. As I realised, one of the small Spades, the  
> J of
> Hearts and J J of Diamonds are all possible opening leads. The whole
> diagramm:
>
> ..........QT63
> ..........JT7
> ..........JT97
> ..........73
> K9...................AJ82
> K43..................95
> AKQ4.................86
> T852.................KQJ94
> ..........754
> ..........AQ862
> ..........532
> ..........A6
>
>
> Screens were used, and East misinformed North, abbout West's 3D bid:
> maximal hand with 4card hearts and a 4card minor. Of course North  
> could
> not find the killing heart lead.
>
> How do you judge as TD or AC?

I find out what North actually led.  I ask him to explain why he  
chose that lead.  I ask him what he thinks his reasoning might have  
been had he gotten a correct explanation.  Having absorbed and  
contemplated that information, I will assign weights for 3NT +5  
(spade lead), +4 (diamond lead) and -1 (heart lead).  (If the opening  
lead at the table was not a spade, the explanations might induce me  
to give zero weight to the possibility of a spade lead.)

Eric Landau
1107 Dale Drive
Silver Spring MD 20910
ehaa at starpower.net