[blml] Réf. : Re: opening lead vs 3N

[Alain Gottcheiner]

-------Message original-------
 
 
...........QT63
...........JT7
...........JT97
...........73
K9...................AJ82
K43..................95
AKQ4.................86
T852.................KQJ94
...........754
...........AQ862
...........532
...........A6
 
 
Screens were used, and East misinformed North, abbout West's 3D bid:
maximal hand with 4card hearts and a 4card minor. Of course North could
not find the killing heart lead.
 
How do you judge as TD or AC?
 
 
AG : seems like S is more popular than H or D. Perhaps about 20-25% would
have led HJ in real life. 
Biasing the percentage towards the NOS, as we usually do, I'd give 1/3 of
the score after a H lead and 2/3 of the score after another lead, being
careful to consider that the actual number of tricks should perhaps been
changed, too (e.g. wrong discard influenced by the wrong explanation).
 
Best regards
 
  Alain
 
 
 
 
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