[blml] Lucy in the sky with diamonds [SEC=UNOFFICIAL]

[Nigel]

[richard.hills]
> Imps
> Dlr: South
> Vul: North-South
>
> The bidding has gone:
>
> WEST NORTH EAST SOUTH
> --- --- --- Pass
> 1S Pass 2D Pass
> 5NT(1) Pass 7D(2) Pass
> Pass Pass
>
> (1) Old-fashioned Josephine
> (2) Two of the top three diamond honours
>
> You, South, hold:
>
> 873
> J64
> 863
> AQ76
>
> What opening lead do you make?
> What other opening lead do you consider making?
>
[nige1]
Assuming that Declarer is sane, this contract  is likely to be cold, 
because it seems that there are no distributional shocks for declarer. 
Hence, IMO,,,
S3 =10... Hoping that opponents have a ten card spade fit.
CA = 8... Hoping that declarer has a club in with his spades.
D3 = 5... Hoping that declarer is a wild optimist.
H4 = 1... Abandoning hope.
A hesitation by partner at his last pass might suggest a spade lead, so 
you should probably lead something else.
...A pity (:
...because partner was probably right to pass rather than Lighter double :)
...as 7S is likely to make against any defence :(