[blml] The sixth sick sheik's sixth sheep is sick

[Brian]

On Wed, 03 Oct 2007 09:22:25 +0200
Herman De Wael <hermandw at skynet.be> wrote:

<...>

> 
> And if you happen to guess correctly - why should the TD believe it 
> was just a 50/50 guess and not some 70/30 one?
> 

Why should a TD believe anything a player says, in that case? 

<...>

> 
> The point being that if you're going to treat it as one thing, and
> you happen to guess correctly, you're never going to convince me (as
> TD) that it was just a 50/50 guess.
> 

Then you need to try to persuade the WBFLC to change the Laws to follow
Nigel's view, and to get the NCBOs to follow suit (when I last played
in England, the EBU Orange Book very specifically prohibited players
from saying how they were going to take an undiscussed bid. That may or
may not have changed in later revisions, I don't know). 

Until that day happens, you (as TD) are expected to rule according to
the Laws, and if I say that I am faced with two equally likely
alternatives, then you either believe me, or you call me a cheat, but
you cannot, of your own volition, say that there is no such thing as a
50/50 guess just because of the (presumably) 50% of times that a player
faced with such a guess will get it right. 


Brian. 

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