[blml] Detroit NABC+ Case 1 -- What do you bid and why [SEC=UNOFFICIAL]

[Jack Rhind]

I believe that there is UI and therefore Pass is a logical alternative.
I expect that this may go to an AC though as it is close.

Jack


On 5/5/08 5:03 AM, "richard.hills at immi.gov.au" <richard.hills at immi.gov.au>
wrote:

> 
> Adam Wildavsky:
> 
> [snip]
> 
>> Playing matchpoints, in first seat at favorable vulnerability you
>> pick up:
>> 
>> 954
>> 3
>> JT4
>> JT9865
>> 
>> You pass, LHO opens a 15-17 point NT, RHO transfers to hearts, and
>> 2H is passed around to you. It will not surprise you to learn that
>> your partner did not have a penalty double of 1NT available. He did
>> have calls available to show any two suits.
> 
> [snip]
> 
>> Knowing partner huddled, and wanting to follow the laws, what is
>> your call, and why?
> 
> Richard Hills:
> 
> "A flaw in balancing theory is that it makes the unjustified
> assumption that the opponents know what they are doing."
> 
> First uttered by Richard Hills in April 2008.  However, a similar
> idea was expressed by David Bird in his monks of St Titus bridge
> stories when he invented the Biltcliffe Coup.
> 
> Three times during a single match Brother Biltcliffe balanced when
> the opponents had stopped in a partscore.  Three times the
> opponents bid game.  Three times Brother Biltcliffe doubled.  Three
> times the doubled game made.
> 
> In this case you have UI that pard is super-strong and consequently
> that the opponents are less likely to employ the Biltcliffe Coup of
> bidding and making 4Hx if you balance.
> 
> Ergo, since the UI indicates that the debacle of -790 after a
> balance will not occur, it is Pass which is the only legal logical
> alternative.
> 
> 
> Best wishes
> 
> Richard James Hills
> Graduates and Developmental Training Section
> Department of Immigration and Citizenship
> Telephone: 02 6223 9067
> Email: richard.hills at immi.gov.au
> 
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> 
> 
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